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Demo account

Demo account — representative simulated trade data. No live user results.

Risk Lab

Failure diagnostics

High-signal evidence for risk leaks, edge decay, and the habits that quietly drain R.

Account Size: $50,000.00Selected P&L: -$4,819.80Avg P&L / Trade: -$52.96

Gap Scorecard

Top 4 leaks - last 7D vs prior 7D
Your Swing setup is leaking28 sample
28
critical

Swing is averaging -$191.84 per trade across 28 tagged trades with a 0.00 PF.

Demote Swing until it stops dragging expectancy below zero.

Winners are being cut too early90 sample
37
critical

37 winners closed below 1.0R, averaging only 0.47R.

Review the exits that paid less than 1R and tighten the rules for when you are allowed to take profits early.

Losses are running past planned risk90 sample
15
critical

15 trades lost more than 1.1R, with an average realized loss of 1.45R.

Treat the planned stop as hard risk, and review the trades that slipped past it before trusting the next setup.

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming34 sample
34
critical

Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R vs First two trades expectancy: 0.12R. Overall baseline: -0.3R | Third+ win rate: 8.8%

Treat third-and-later entries as a separate overtrading check; make them re-earn risk instead of inheriting normal size.

Market Fit (Diagnostic)

Momentum is your strongest tagged setup so far: 28 trades, 60.7% win rate, 1.44 PF, and $13.00 per trade.

Stop Discipline (Operational)

Stop respect 81.1% - Oversize losses 16.7% across 90 tracked trades.

Critical Diagnostics13 ACTIONABLE ANOMALIES
Your Swing setup is leaking

Swing is averaging -$191.84 per trade across 28 tagged trades with a 0.00 PF.

warning
Winners are being cut too early

37 winners closed below 1.0R, averaging only 0.47R.

warning
Losses are running past planned risk

15 trades lost more than 1.1R, with an average realized loss of 1.45R.

warning
Third+ trades of the day are underperforming

Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R vs First two trades expectancy: 0.12R. Overall baseline: -0.3R | Third+ win rate: 8.8%

warning
Trades after wins are weaker than baseline

After-win expectancy: -0.49R vs Overall expectancy: -0.30R. After-win win rate: 26.3% | After-win median: -0.59R

warning

Session Performance

Avg P&L / Trade

Expectancy by session (avg P&L per trade)

Asia Open (0 trades)No data
London Open (84 trades)-$56.11 - WR 42.9%
NY Open (7 trades)-$15.17 - WR 42.9%
NY Lunch/Close (0 trades)No data
Late/Off-hours (0 trades)No data
Opportunity vs Leakage (24H UTC)
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Green = positive expectancy, red = leakage hours, gray = no sample.

SL Discipline

Planned vs Actual Risk Delta

Stop Respect
81.1%
Oversize Loss
16.7%
Avg Risk
$115.22
Realized R
-0.30R

Tracked trades: 90. Respect threshold uses a 5% risk tolerance buffer.

Edge Decay

history
Rolling Expectancy (20 Trades)
Momentum
Mean Reversion
Range Trade
Swing
Setup Performance
SetupTradesWin%Avg P&LPFBest Session
Mean Reversion2867.9%+$10.501.76London Open
Momentum2860.7%+$13.001.44London Open
Range Trade742.9%-$15.170.43NY Open
Swing280.0%-$191.840.00London Open

Behavioral Risk

Position Variance & Emotional Tilt

Risk Exposure Trend

Red bars = trades after 2+ consecutive losses.

Trade Spike Frequency
2026-07-11: 3 trades2026-07-13: 3 trades2026-07-15: 3 trades2026-07-17: 4 trades2026-07-23: 3 trades2026-07-25: 3 trades2026-07-27: 4 trades2026-07-29: 3 trades2026-08-04: 3 trades2026-08-06: 3 trades2026-08-08: 3 trades2026-08-10: 4 trades2026-08-16: 3 trades2026-08-18: 3 trades2026-08-20: 3 trades2026-08-22: 4 trades2026-08-28: 3 trades2026-08-30: 3 trades2026-09-01: 4 trades2026-09-03: 3 trades

No abnormal trading volume days detected.

Post-loss State Analysis
After 1 Loss
n=30
-$88.67
-47.7% size
1385m next
After 2 Losses
n=14
$5.73
+52.4% size
2740m next
After 3+ Losses
n=7
$20.43
-90.7% size
402m next
Tilt Sequence DetectionAfter loss sequencing
Tilt Sequence0
Delayed Overcompensation5
Revenge Trade Detector0 detected

No revenge patterns detected.

Session Creep Detector

0.0% of your trades were outside top sessions (NY Open, London Open).

Avg P&L outside: $0.00 vs inside: -$52.96

Systemic Vulnerability

Mid Vol · Trend-$105.82 avg
22 tradesWR 36.4%-$2,328.00 total
High Vol · Trend-$75.46 avg
21 tradesWR 33.3%-$1,584.60 total
High Vol · Chop-$58.22 avg
10 tradesWR 40.0%-$582.20 total
Low Vol · Chop-$17.85 avg
12 tradesWR 50.0%-$214.20 total

Regimes combine volatility buckets (pips) with day structure (trend/chop).

Day-of-Week Leakage

ThursdayLeak $12.96
12 tradesExp -$74.57
SaturdayLeak $11.87
13 tradesExp -$71.23
SundayLeak $0.00
13 tradesExp -$49.35
MondayLeak $0.00
14 tradesExp -$50.36

Baseline expectancy: -$52.96. Leak Index = max(0, baseline - day expectancy) × min(1, trades/20).

Demon Journal

Execution Report

Sep 7 - Sep 13, 2026

Not enough trades this week: 0/5 closed trades.

Trades

0

P&L

$0.00

Win rate

0.0%

Main demon

No demon triggered

No auto or manual demon triggers were found in this week.

Worst leak

No leak detected

No clear leak met the sample and confidence threshold this week.

history

Pattern Summary

Swing is averaging -$191.84 per trade across 28 tagged trades with a 0.00 PF.

37 winners closed below 1.0R, averaging only 0.47R.

15 trades lost more than 1.1R, with an average realized loss of 1.45R.

Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R vs First two trades expectancy: 0.12R. Overall baseline: -0.3R | Third+ win rate: 8.8%

Primary Focus

Your Swing setup is leaking

Demote Swing until it stops dragging expectancy below zero.

Trade SequenceOrder and prior outcome

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming

high - 34 trades

Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R vs First two trades expectancy: 0.12R.

Overall baseline: -0.3R - Third+ win rate: 8.8% - Third+ median: -1.04R

Evidence Trades34 linked
Jun 17, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.08R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jun 19, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.62R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jun 21, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.58R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jun 23, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.02R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jun 23, 13:41 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.64R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jun 29, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.78R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 1, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.20R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 3, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.66R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 5, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.88R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 5, 13:41 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTWIN / 0.10R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 11, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.24R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 13, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD LONGLOSS / -1.76R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 17, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.72R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 17, 13:41 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.64R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 23, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.52R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 25, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.14R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 27, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.60R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 27, 13:41 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -0.42R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Jul 29, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.06R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 4, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.84R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 6, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -1.32R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 8, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.72R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 10, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD LONGLOSS / -0.68R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 10, 13:41 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.52R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 16, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.12R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 18, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -1.46R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 20, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.90R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 22, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.28R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 22, 13:41 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.14R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 28, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.64R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Aug 30, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.00R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Sep 1, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.76R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Sep 1, 13:41 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.48R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

Sep 3, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -1.50R

Third+ trades of the day are underperforming: Third+ trade expectancy: -0.98R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot

medium - 28 trades

First-trade expectancy: 0.13R vs Later-trade expectancy: -0.49R.

Overall baseline: -0.3R - First-trade win rate: 60.7% - Later-trade win rate: 35.5%

Evidence Trades28 linked
Jun 17, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.74R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jun 19, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD LONGWIN / 0.86R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jun 21, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.54R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jun 23, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.82R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jun 29, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 1.12R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 1, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -0.58R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 3, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.70R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 5, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD LONGWIN / 0.48R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 11, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.92R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 13, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGWIN / 0.64R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 15, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.68R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 17, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD LONGWIN / 0.94R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 23, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.36R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 25, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.64R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 27, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.52R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Jul 29, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -0.78R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 4, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.76R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 6, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -0.86R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 8, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTWIN / 0.58R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 10, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGWIN / 1.04R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 16, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.72R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 18, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD LONGWIN / 0.82R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 20, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.46R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 22, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.90R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 28, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.68R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Aug 30, 09:37 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -0.60R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Sep 1, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.98R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Sep 3, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD LONGWIN / 0.40R

First trade of the day is your strongest sequence slot: First-trade expectancy: 0.13R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline

high - 38 trades

After-win expectancy: -0.49R vs Overall expectancy: -0.30R.

After-win win rate: 26.3% - After-win median: -0.59R

Evidence Trades38 linked
Jun 17, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.08R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 19, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.34R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 19, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.62R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 21, 10:49 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.46R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 23, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.02R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 29, 10:49 UTC - BTCUSD LONGWIN / 0.16R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jun 29, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.78R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 1, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.20R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 3, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -0.32R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 5, 10:49 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTWIN / 0.56R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 5, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.88R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 11, 09:37 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.92R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 11, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.24R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 13, 10:49 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.38R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 17, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.22R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 17, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.72R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 23, 09:37 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTWIN / 0.36R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 23, 10:49 UTC - LINKUSD LONGLOSS / -0.56R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 25, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.14R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 27, 10:49 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -0.34R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Jul 29, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.06R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 4, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD LONGWIN / 0.28R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 4, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.84R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 6, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -1.32R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 8, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.48R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 10, 10:49 UTC - BTCUSD SHORTWIN / 0.18R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 10, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD LONGLOSS / -0.68R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 16, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.12R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 18, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.36R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 20, 10:49 UTC - LINKUSD LONGWIN / 0.62R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 20, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.90R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 22, 12:08 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -1.28R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 28, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.68R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 28, 10:49 UTC - BTCUSD LONGLOSS / -0.44R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Aug 30, 12:08 UTC - SOLUSD LONGLOSS / -1.00R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Sep 1, 10:49 UTC - SOLUSD LONGWIN / 0.24R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Sep 1, 12:08 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.76R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Sep 3, 10:49 UTC - LINKUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.52R

Trades after wins are weaker than baseline: After-win expectancy: -0.49R

Symbol × DirectionLong/short asymmetry

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge

low - 10 trades

AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R vs AAVEUSD baseline: -0.14R.

Global baseline: -0.3R - AAVEUSD long: -0.32R - Direction win rate: 70%

Evidence Trades10 linked
Jun 21, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.58R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jun 23, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.37R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jun 29, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 1.12R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jul 17, 13:41 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.64R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jul 23, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.52R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jul 25, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.39R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Jul 27, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.52R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Aug 20, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.90R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Aug 22, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.33R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

Aug 28, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 0.68R

AAVEUSD shorts are your strongest directional edge: AAVEUSD short expectancy: 0.01R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline

low - 8 trades

AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R vs AAVEUSD baseline: -0.14R.

Global baseline: -0.3R - AAVEUSD short: 0.01R - Direction win rate: 37.5%

Evidence Trades8 linked
Jul 5, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.88R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Jul 11, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGWIN / 0.43R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Jul 13, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGWIN / 0.64R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Aug 6, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -1.32R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Aug 8, 10:49 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.48R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Aug 10, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGWIN / 1.04R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Sep 1, 13:41 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -0.48R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

Sep 3, 12:08 UTC - AAVEUSD LONGLOSS / -1.50R

AAVEUSD longs are underperforming the symbol baseline: AAVEUSD long expectancy: -0.32R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside

low - 11 trades

ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R vs ETHUSD baseline: 0.02R.

Global baseline: -0.3R - ETHUSD long: 0.16R - Direction win rate: 63.6%

Evidence Trades11 linked
Jun 23, 13:41 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.64R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Jun 29, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -0.78R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Jul 1, 10:49 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.35R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Jul 3, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.70R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Jul 27, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.60R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Jul 29, 10:49 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.38R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Aug 4, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.76R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Aug 22, 13:41 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.14R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Aug 28, 12:08 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTLOSS / -1.64R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Aug 30, 10:49 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.36R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Sep 1, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.98R

ETHUSD shorts are carrying most of the downside: ETHUSD short expectancy: -0.09R

Outlier DependencyProfit concentration

ETHUSD profitability is outlier-driven

low - 19 trades

ETHUSD excluding best trade: -0.04R vs ETHUSD expectancy: 0.02R.

Top 1 contribution: 306.3% - Expectancy drop: 300% - Net excluding best: -0.66R

Evidence Trades1 linked
Sep 1, 09:37 UTC - ETHUSD SHORTWIN / 0.98R

ETHUSD profitability is outlier-driven: ETHUSD excluding best trade: -0.04R

Momentum profitability is outlier-driven

medium - 28 trades

Momentum excluding best trade: 0.09R vs Momentum expectancy: 0.13R.

Top 1 contribution: 30.8% - Expectancy drop: 30.8% - Net excluding best: 2.52R

Evidence Trades1 linked
Jun 29, 09:37 UTC - AAVEUSD SHORTWIN / 1.12R

Momentum profitability is outlier-driven: Momentum excluding best trade: 0.09R

Terminal V4.21-RISK - 91 trades analyzed